At https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/07/31/what-nasa-and-the-european-space-agency-are-admitting-but-the-media-are-failing-to-report-about-our-current-heat-wave/ … a wwarm July in some parts of the world, not only in eastern North America but in Australia and the southern hemisphere. The media stick to the alarmism and are saying it is all to do with rising co2 levels. NASA and ESA differ. They are pointing a finger at the Tonga volcano 18 months ago – warming sea water that has since percolated around the ocean conveyor belt. Even satellite data is saying this year is as warm as 2016, which was due to a powerful El Nino event. They say warming of the world, on average, is approaching 0.14 degrees, on average. SEPP data, August 2023.
The submarine volcano took place 490 feet underwater, in the South Pacific, generating a tsunami wave that flushed over the islands of Tonga. We don’t hear much about that, or its consequences, but scientists have written a lot of papers about the volcano lifting massive amounts of ocean water, as vapour, as far up as the stratosphere. This is perhaps one of the reasons for the current warming – but as yet, is not a proven fact. There are some serious contradictions. For the moment it seems to have slowed down the developing El Nino, predicted for this year. Either that or the oceans are so warm they have killed off El Nino for another year.
A sceptic might say, a heatwave coming 18 months after the eruption is a bit late. Of course, it is not actually a global heatwave and is somewhat cooler than normal in many places around the world. However, the 19th century Tambora volcano took place in early 1815 but its effects were delayed until 1816 – the year without a summer. There is also the possibility that water vapour in the stratosphere may create warmth – but that would perhaps rise [into space] rather than drop back down to the surface. Of course, water vapour in the stratosphere represents the highest point it reached. There is presumably a lot of water vapour lower down in the atmosphere.
Meanwhile, in Tonga itself, the queen has been handing out warm clothing to prisoners and other disadvantaged people. They are enjoying a bout of cold weather in the South Pacific tropics, with an origin in the south, penguin country.